Using statistical models to predict future sales

BrainTech, LLC: Using Statistics to build Models of Customer Behavior


Use Multiple Regression to develop models that forecast future sales


We use weather forecasts and time-series and seasonal trends for data analysis


Owen Emlen, Member of BrainTech, LLC
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Weather, Sales Trend demand forecasting
Name: Owen Emlen

Personal News Feeds:
  1. EmlenMud revival project (Preview here)
  2. Articles, papers, and presentations

Currently Duties and Projects:
  1. Create and maintain the company website and the RSS feed for BrainTech, LLC news
  2. Continue to write online tools for statistical analysis, and generalize the tools to serve the greater scientific community
  3. Enhance company awareness online

Education:
Work History:
  • Consulting and programmer,  Bellingham, 2000-present.  Recent projects include http://www.MyEliteTutor.com (database design, dynamic content retrieval and storage, ASP.NET code, Skype, Google Analytics, and Paypal integration, and everything else except site design and static HTML), .NET (C#) streaming audio, video, audio and motion detection libraries and components (a demo will be available for download here soon), a C# ICMP library for simultaneously monitoring a large number of remote hosts and graphically tracking availability and response times, and a .NET licensing library for enforcing design-time and runtime policies associated with licensed .NET libraries and components.
  • Teaching Assistant, Statistics and Research Design courses, WWU, 2003-2005
  • Developer, Microsoft Travel Technologies / Expedia, 1997-2000
    (Microsoft Travel Technologies became Expedia.com  in 1999.  My immediate supervisors were Simon Tam (now a group manager), and David Beitel (now the Chief Technology Officer for Zillow.com)
  • Assistant Instructor, "Working the World-Wide Web", IU, 1996-1997
  • Summer Intern, Microsoft, Redmond, WA, 1996

Presentations, Concerts, and Community:

Blasts from the Past:
Favorite Links:

Publications (some are related to BrainTech, LLC, others are not)
Publications (available online soon)
  • The Role of Dopamine D1 Receptors in the Expression of Cocaine-Induced Conditioned Place Preference
  • Differential Involvement of D1 and D2 Dopamine Receptors in the Acquisition and Expression of Pavlovian Conditioning with Water as a Reward
  • Perception: Exploring the Mechanisms of Conscious Control in Bistable Perception
  • Animal Assisted Therapy for Children with Autism

 

Owen Emlen and his Father, after climbing up Huaynu picchu in Peru

Clear communication and thorough understanding of our clients' ever-changing needs is critical to our business. It allows us to quickly and effectively answer analysis-intensive business inquiries, produce reports that provide pertinent and useful information, and update predictive models to reflect changes made by the company, or in the event of sudden market shifts.

In order to establish clear communication and understand different operating environments and company-specific needs, part of our job is to establish an open, collaborative environment with each client.  We have found that one-on-one, personal communication is an essential component in establishing the necessary collaborative environment.

As we grow, we expect that it will become more challenging to establish and maintain this essential collaborative environment with new and geographically-distant clients.  Therefore, we are additional resources in anticipation of this expected challenge.

As part of this effort, BrainTech, LLC has voted that each of its Members create and maintain a semi-personal, semi-professional web page on the company web site in an effort to foster open and personable communication with new and geographically-distant clients.




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